2018 gubernatorial race Bruce Poliquin Daily Brief Election 2018 Janet Mills Jared Golden News Politics Shawn Moody susan rice Terry Hayes

The latest on money, debates and polling in Maine’s closest campaign contests — Daily Brief — Bangor Daily News — BDN Maine

The latest on money, debates and polling in Maine’s closest campaign contests — Daily Brief — Bangor Daily News — BDN Maine

Micky Bedell | BDN; Robert F. Bukaty | AP

Micky Bedell | BDN; Robert F. Bukaty | AP

U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin (proper) and State Rep. Jared Golden, D-Lewiston, a candidate for the 2nd District Congressional seat.

By Michael Shepherd, BDN Employees •
October 15, 2018 eight:59 am

Up to date: October 15, 2018 10:40 am

Good morning from Augusta, the place we’ll start with a Monday roundup of stories from Maine’s largest campaigns.

The Democratic challenger in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District raised a boatload of money in the yr’s third quarter, however Assistant Maine Home Majority Chief Jared Golden has far much less on hand than U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin, whom he’ll debate for the final time tomorrow.

Within the governor’s race, unbiased Terry Hayes is making an attempt to make the case that Republican Shawn Moody can’t beat Democratic nominee Janet Mills, although her personal ballot exhibits that she has an extended option to go if she’s going to overhaul him.

Golden harnessed Democratic fundraising momentum between July and September, however Poliquin had extra money left as of final month’s finish. By Monday’s finish, congressional candidates should report up to date fundraising totals from July by means of September. Poliquin and Golden gave us a sneak peek of their numbers by this morning and they’re in robust positions.

Golden’s campaign stated in a press release that it raised $2.7 million throughout that interval with $637,000 left. That was 5 occasions greater than Poliquin’s haul of $538,000, however Poliquin’s campaign touted that it had $2.1 million left in its coffers by the top of final month. We’ll have to attend for his or her stories to return out earlier than we all know the place all of this cash got here from.

Nevertheless, it put Golden forward of Poliquin in general fundraising. He additionally seems to be in the highest tier of well-funded Democratic candidates nationally of late, since Home Democrats’ campaign arm advised Politico that 30 of their candidates raised greater than $2 million in the course of the third quarter.

The two candidates are set to debate for the final time Tuesday night time — however Golden will take the stage yet one more time. Poliquin has all the time tightly managed his messaging, most famously when he largely prevented discussing President Donald Trump as the 2 ran and gained their 2016 races in the 2nd District. There have been three debates then and Poliquin agreed to 2 towards Golden and the 2 independents — Tiffany Bond and Will Hoar — this yr.

That ultimate debate will probably be tomorrow night time on WAGM, the CBS and Fox affiliate in Presque Isle. Golden and the independents will debate as soon as extra in late October with Maine Public after a complicated spat final week in which the Democrat and his allies accused Poliquin of backing out of a debate that the incumbent by no means had on a public debate schedule launched in late August.

Golden wasn’t going to try this Oct. 28 debate with out Poliquin, however he has since modified his tune and will now seem.

Hayes is utilizing two new polls in the governor’s race to argue that Moody can’t win, however it’s exhausting to know what to make of them. Moody, a businessman, and Mills, the lawyer common, have been statistically tied in the four-way governor’s race from Suffolk College in August that confirmed the 2 independents in the only digits. That ballot is previous and nearly meaningless now, however we point out it as a result of it’s the one impartial public ballot in the campaign thus far.

FiveThirtyEight has logged two extra polls since late September. Each give Mills an eight-point edge on her Republican rival, however one is from a liberal group and the opposite is an inner ballot from Hayes that she’s pitching as a approach of creating Moody look weak. These leads, nevertheless, come underneath totally different circumstances and it’s not all dangerous for Moody.

The first ballot — from a gaggle that aimed it at U.S. Sen. Susan Collins‘ vote on U.S. Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh — found Mills at 52 percent and Moody at 44 percent in a poll that didn’t embrace Hayes or fellow unbiased Alan Caron. Because the two independents are former Democrats, it stands to purpose that Moody might achieve when their votes are counted.

Hayes’ ballot explored what the race may appear to be underneath ranked-choice voting, which can solely be used in Maine congressional races this yr. It pegged Mills at 41 %, Moody at 33 %, Hayes at 10 % and Caron at 2 % with 13 % undecided, nevertheless it stated that Hayes was the second selection of greater than 51 % of voters.

Kyle Bailey, Hayes’ campaign supervisor, put out an e-mail to supporters with “Shawn Moody Can’t Win” in the topic line. However Republicans aren’t more likely to be spooked. They just lately included Hayes and Mills in a spherical of assault advertisements maybe aimed toward boosting the unbiased.

Correction: An earlier model of this merchandise gave the flawed date for Maine Public’s 2nd District debate. It’s Oct. 28, not Oct. 29.


Susan Rice exhibits up at Mills occasion

The nationwide determine who might be plotting a 2020 run towards Collins confirmed up at a Friday fundraiser for Mills on the midcoast. It prompted a stir when Susan Rice, the nationwide safety adviser and U.S. ambassador to the United Nations underneath former President Barack Obama, confirmed up at a Rockport fundraiser for Mills on Friday.

After Collins stated she would vote to verify Kavanaugh, Rice tweeted potential curiosity in operating towards the Republican senator in 2020 earlier than saying that she’d think about it after this yr’s election. Her mom was born in Portland and she owns a household house in Lincolnville, however she doesn’t stay right here full-time and isn’t recognized for Maine political ties.

Nevertheless, her attendance on the Friday occasion was confirmed by a Mills spokesman. Two attendees on the occasion stated Rice prevented answering questions on whether or not she’d take on Collins. She issued a press release to Politico saying she’s working to elect candidates right here.


Studying listing

— The Republican candidate for governor in Maine has grown his wealth to roughly $44 million. Chief amongst Moody’s belongings are actual property and a collision restore middle that has six places in the state. If elected, Moody stated he doesn’t see a purpose to unload any of his more and more invaluable firm shares or the underlying actual property, value roughly $44.7 million to him and his spouse, in line with a Bangor Daily News evaluation of public firm and property data. State regulation doesn’t require a governor to relinquish his stake in such companies, which Moody stated expanded via the recession due to prudent financial savings and streamlined state allowing processes.

— Local weather change is having an impression on Acadia Nationwide Park. Except for the noticeable improve in guests to the park, which has prompted Acadia to develop its first-ever visitors administration plan, local weather change is affecting the park in different methods, too. Extra extreme climate is having an influence on park infrastructure and, in some instances, is aggravating the park’s $60 million deferred upkeep backlog. Although storms are usually not anticipated to grow to be extra frequent, they typically have gotten extra extreme, taking a higher toll on the park’s roads, culverts and drainage techniques. Sea degree rise has swamped hearth pits at a picnic space and induced erosion and tree loss.

— The president doubled down on his criticism of a lady who accused his latest Supreme Courtroom appointee of sexual assault. In a phase of 60 Minutes that aired Sunday, President Donald Trump defended his mocking of Christine Blasey Ford at a Mississippi rally to CBS correspondent Lesley Stahl, saying, “Had I not made that speech, we would not have won.” Ford, who accused Kavanaugh of sexually assaulting her once they have been youngsters, testified earlier than the Senate Judiciary late final month. Days later, at a rally in Southaven, Mississippi, Trump mimicked elements of Ford’s testimony — elements of the alleged night time Ford couldn’t keep in mind — to a laughing crowd. Trump informed Stahl, “I really didn’t make fun. I was just saying she didn’t seem to know anything, and you’re trying to destroy a life of a man who has been extraordinary.” When Stahl requested once more why he had mocked Ford, Trump bristled and stated, “I’m not going to get into it, because we won.”


Shoat and inform

Slightly pig bumped into visitors not removed from the seat of Maine authorities in Augusta.

There are simply too some ways to get into hassle with that sentence. So we gained’t go there. As an alternative, we’ll mud off reminiscences of Reggie and Evelyn, a pair of pet pigs featured in a long-ago story in a now-defunct weekly newspaper previously based mostly in Augusta. The story is so previous that there isn’t any hyperlink, so you’ll have to take my phrase for it.

A pair in a city simply outdoors Augusta took a shine to the little piggies once they have been simply babes. They determined to boost them as pets as an alternative of livestock. They put in a “piggy door” just like what people use to let canine enter and depart the home, and would sit on the sofa and pat the pigs whereas they watched TV.

For a short while, it was porcine paradise.

However pigs develop. Quickly.

Inside weeks, Reggie and Evelyn have been every devouring 5 loaves of bread per day together with their extra typical pig meals. Additionally they developed an unhealthy urge for food for decent canine and pork chops.

Briefly order, the lovable little piggies morphed into ravenous torpedoes on legs — with an urge for food for the byproducts of much less lucky members of their very own species. They quickly couldn’t match by way of the piggy door.

The final straw, apparently, was when Reggie and Evelyn’s house owners got here residence to find that that they had damaged by way of the common door and eaten a lot of the sofa upon which that they had so just lately shared particular moments.

The ethical of the story is that pigs don’t make good home pets. However they do present loads of fodder for good storytelling. Right here is your soundtrack. — Robert Lengthy

At present’s Daily Brief was written by Michael Shepherd, Alex Acquisto and Robert Lengthy. Should you’re studying this on the BDN’s web site or have been forwarded it, click on right here to obtain Maine’s main publication on state politics by way of e mail on weekday mornings. Click on right here to subscribe to the BDN.

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